Page 14 - Indonesia Taxation Quarterly Report (Q2-2020)
P. 14

INDONESIA TAXATION QUARTERLY REPORT  Q2-2020













                             1           Chapter


                                         Survey of

                                         Recent


                                         Developments
























          The third quarter of   A. Macro-Fiscal Framework         contrast, the World Bank projects that
        2020 will be decisive                                      Indonesia’s 2020 economy will remain
        whether our economy                                        stagnant  with  the  growth of 0.00%
                                                                                                      3
          in a recession state   The  third quarter of 2020  will  be   while  the  Ministry of Finance  also
                     or not.   decisive whether  our  economy  in  a   projects  that  Indonesia’s growth will
                             recession  state  or not.  As  of now,
                             the  uncertainty  remains  high  as  the   be in range between 0.00% and 0.50%
                             ongoing  domino  effect  of Covid-19   for the third quarter and around 3.00%
                                                                                          4
                             pandemic     has   been    inevitably  for the  fourth  quarter.   Conversely,
                             widespread.  This  is  evidenced by   within  the  last  few years  Indonesia’s
                                                                   economic growth  has  always  been
                             the  development  of  health-related
                             root causes  to social,  economic,    positive and in the range of 5%.
                             and  financial  problems  throughout
                             the  world.  The  direction  of  the  world   This  crisis  then  has  prompted  the
                             economy  has changed dramatically,    government  to promulgate  a  new
                             and  this  leads  to a  recession  with   legal  standard,  namely  Government
                             unknown timeframe.                    Regulation  in  Lieu of Law No. 1  of
                                                                   2020 which  then  was  ratified  by  Law
                             Two international  institutions,  IMF   No. 2  of 2020  as  the  basis  for the
                             and  OECD, project that  Indonesia’s   main economic policy of extraordinary
                                                                   measures in addressing the pandemic.
                             2020  economy will  be  contracted  by
                             -0.30%   and  -2.80%   respectively.  In  Referring to this basis, the government
                                                2
                                    1
                             1     IMF, “World Economic Outlook (WEO)” (June 2020), Internet, can be accessed at: https://www.imf.
                                   org/~/media/Files/Publications/WEO/2020/Update/June/English/data/WEOJun2020update.
                                   ashx?la=en.
                             2     OECD, “Economic Forecast Summary” (June 2020), Internet, can be accessed at: http://www.oecd.
                                   org/economic-outlook/. The projected figures are projected figures within a certain scenario.
                             3     World Bank, Indonesia Economic Prospects: The Long Road to Recovery (July 2020), 32.
                             4     This information is obtained from the Ministry of Finance’s statement in KSSK Press Conference
                                   (5 August 2020).



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